Union Budget 2024-25 Expectations in the Finance Sector

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As India prepares for the Union Budget 2024-25, financial professionals and management accountants are keenly anticipating measures to strengthen the finance sector’s resilience and pave the way for sustainable growth.

The current global environment presents a unique confluence of challenges and opportunities for businesses. To navigate this complex landscape effectively, the budget must prioritize critical areas such as digital transformation, innovation, and skills development to enhance the sector’s productivity and global competitiveness.

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Here are some insights into the potential impacts of the upcoming budget 2024 on the finance sector and the broader economy.

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Economic Growth and Fiscal Consolidation: The upcoming budget is expected to strike a delicate balance between boosting economic growth and ensuring fiscal consolidation. The government’s projected reduction of the fiscal deficit to 5.1% in FY25 from 5.8% in FY24 signals a commitment to fiscal prudence. However, this must be achieved without compromising growth-oriented initiatives.

Capital Expenditure and Infrastructure Development: The continuation of capital expenditure (capex)-led growth model is a positive sign for long-term economic stability. The budget is anticipated to maintain a strong focus on infrastructure development, which can create multiplier effects across various sectors. Management accountants in both the public and private sectors should prepare for increased project financing and cost management opportunities in infrastructure-related initiatives.

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Tax Reforms and Simplification: One of the most anticipated aspects of the budget is potential tax reforms. The government is considering raising the exemption limit under the new tax regime from Rs 3 lakh to Rs 5 lakh, which could significantly impact personal finance management.

Additionally, there are expectations of consolidating capital gains taxes and reforming the Goods and Services Tax (GST) system. These changes, if implemented, would require financial professionals to adapt quickly and guide their organizations through the transition.

This would be a welcome change for everybody who advocates for streamlined financial processes because it simplifies tax structures and reduces compliance burdens. This also aligns with best practices in financial management and accounting.

Financial Services and Fintech Sector Reforms: The budget is expected to accelerate reforms in financial services and fintech, which is crucial for India’s $7 trillion economy goal. Key focus areas include creating large-scale balance sheets, integrating AI and digital technologies, improving governance, and fostering fintech-traditional institution partnerships.

Targeted incentives for startups, streamlined regulations, and enhanced digital infrastructure to attract investments are also expected. The budget may also encourage the adoption of blockchain, AI, and cybersecurity technologies. These reforms aim to position India as a fintech leader while bridging the digital divide and democratizing financial services across urban and rural landscapes.

Boosting Consumption and Rural Economy: The budget will likely include measures to stimulate consumption, particularly in rural areas. This may consist of higher allocations for rural job schemes and increased cash transfers to farmers.

Management accountants in consumer-facing industries should be prepared to analyze the impact of these measures on demand patterns and adjust financial strategies accordingly. The potential 50% increase in state subsidies for rural housing, possibly exceeding $6.5 billion, is another area that warrants attention. This could create significant opportunities in the rural housing finance sector.

Focus on Job Creation and Skill Development: With unemployment being a key concern, the budget is expected to introduce incentives for job creation in labor-intensive sectors. This presents an opportunity for management accountants to play a crucial role in workforce planning and cost-benefit analysis of such incentive schemes.

Sustainability and Green Initiatives: The growing emphasis on sustainable practices will likely be reflected in the budget through incentives for green initiatives. This aligns with global trends and India’s commitment to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. Financial professionals should be prepared to incorporate sustainability metrics into their reporting and decision-making processes.

Implications for Management Accountants

As these budget proposals unfold, management accountants will play a crucial role in:

  • Analyzing the impact of tax changes on organizational finances
  • Developing strategies to leverage new incentives and schemes
  • Ensuring compliance with new regulations
  • Advising on investment decisions in light of new budget allocations
  • Incorporating sustainability considerations into financial planning

The potential shifts in tax regimes, especially the push towards the new tax system, will require management accountants to reassess personal and corporate tax strategies. The possible introduction of investment-based deductions in the new regime could open up new avenues for financial planning.

Conclusion

The Union Budget 2024-25 is poised to introduce significant changes that will impact the finance sector and the broader economy, with a particular emphasis on accelerating growth in the financial services and fintech sectors. The budget’s focus on creating a robust financial ecosystem will be instrumental in India’s journey towards becoming a $7 trillion economy, empowering millions across urban and rural landscapes through innovative and inclusive financial services.

As we anticipate these budgetary measures, let us prepare to adapt, innovate, and lead in this evolving financial landscape. The coming months will be crucial for financial professionals to demonstrate their value in interpreting and implementing these new fiscal policies, ensuring their organizations not only comply with new regulations but also capitalize on new opportunities for growth and efficiency.

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Sunil Deshmukh
Sunil Deshmukh
Sunil Deshmukh, CMA, Chair, IMA (Institute of Management Accountants)

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